The Five Pillars of The Space Economy
Module 5 โ The Space Economy 2023 Almanac
Upstream, Instream, Downstream, Exploration, and Religion โ the five pillars that define the space economy. Including a bold prediction: the Milky Way's first quadrillionaire will be an Indian woman specializing in genetics.
Upstream
Upstream is by far the sexiest and most macho of all the pillars of The Space Economy. As a result, it is no shock that it is the least profitable. For the last 80 years, since the end of World War II, the majority of space investment has gone into Upstream businesses and initiatives. Upstream investments can also be categorized as Up and Out investments.
Instream
Instream is where the future of The Space Economy gets interesting. Why Instream is interesting isn't due to satellites and the vast amounts of revenue that they will generate from geospatial data. Rather, why Instream is poised to outperform Downstream is because of the role that space stations will play in the future of humanity's quest for immortality.
As the International Space Station (ISS) reaches towards its third decade of service, private companies such as Sierra Space, Orbital Assembly, Orbital Reef and Nanoracks have stepped up to provide the next generation of space stations. The next generation of space stations will be less The Behemoth in the Slow Zone and more Deep Space Nine-inspired orbital business parks. Specifically, orbital research platforms where the secrets to immortality are pursued and cracked in microgravity.
MilkyWayEconomy predicts that the Milky Way's first quadrillionaire will be an Indian woman who specializes in genetics, whose research performed on one of these space stations not only renders humans all but immortal but also makes her this galaxy's first quadrillionaire. Based on the current status of both genetic research and space station development, we anticipate this to occur in 2065. Making Instream one of the most valuable verticals in The Space Economy.
Downstream
As of January 2023, the global market for geospatial data is $17B, accounting for 3.3% of the total $503B space economy. By 2040 the geospatial data market will be worth just north of $200B. The geospatial data market is just one aspect of the Downstream data market and value chain that The Space Economy creates. After all, in space, data is the currency of space. From machine-to-machine micropayments for in-orbit satellite services, parking spaces and premium orbits, data and the exchange thereof will define the currency of The Space Economy and even the cislunar and Martian economy.
Exploration
Exploration is the second easiest aspect of The Space Economy to understand and appreciate. Ever since the first human walked out of Africa, humanity has looked up to the heavens and wondered what lay beyond our imagination. Exploration will be a driving force to The Space Economy, especially as many of the environmental and physiological challenges to space travel (e.g. radiation and muscle atrophy) are overcome over the next 100 years. Propelled by the discovery of immortality via microgravity bioresearch in 2065, humanity will look at the night's sky as Polynesians did to the horizons of the Pacific. The key difference in exploration, post-immortality unlocking, is that space exploration will become the primary domain of women.
Religion's Role in The Space Economy
Every great age of expansion or exploration in human history has been driven by either Glory, Gold or God. When all three align, history changes paradigms. In The Space Economy, religion and faith play no less critical a role. To unlock the true discoveries of space and microgravity, savvy founders and spacepreneurs will tie their technology and scientific discoveries to prove the following, which unlock the funding purse strings of politicians and governments around the world:
- Do aliens exist?
- Proof that God exists
While many in the scientific community believe in research for the sake of research, in the savvy mind of a founder looking for unlimited funding, addressing these two factors is what will unlock the governmental purse strings required to fund the research that changes humanity as a species.
George Pullen and Samson Williams are the founders of MilkyWayEconomy, a Washington, DC-based advisory firm specializing in the economic foundations of the Fifth Industrial Revolution and the Space Economy. In addition to writing, researching and being investors in 5th Industrial Revolution companies, they are adjunct professors at the University of New Hampshire School of Law and instructors at Columbia University in NYC.
This article is Module 5 of The Space Economy 2023 Almanac.